Air Force
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 90.3957Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 89.9) 13-12 207 A Denver ( 6- 7, 94.0) 2-10 214 H Ohio State (10- 4, 95.0) 9-14 224 A Siena (11- 4, 90.0) 9-21 228 A Marist ( 9- 4, 89.2) 11-13 307 H Duke ( 9- 4, 97.9) 6-21 312 H Syracuse (11- 4, 98.1) 11-17 321 A Providence ( 7- 8, 91.7) 18-17 328 H Jacksonville ( 8- 5, 94.9) 10-16 404 A Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.1) 13-12 411 A Queens ( 4- 9, 84.5) 17- 7 418 H Mercer ( 6- 7, 87.7) 17- 9 425 A Utah ( 9- 4, 94.7) 14-13 501 N Utah ( 9- 4, 94.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Lafayette 13-12 1 2 -0.82
207 A Denver 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.07
214 H Ohio State 9-14 -5 -3 -1.71
224 A Siena 9-21 -12 -1 --- -6.03
228 A Marist 11-13 -2 0 -1.89
307 H Duke 6-21 -15 -6 -0.77
312 H Syracuse 11-17 -6 -6 0.39
321 A Providence 18-17 1 -3 + 3.59
328 H Jacksonville 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.80
404 A Bellarmine 13-12 1 1 0.04
411 A Queens 17- 7 10 5 + 2.44
418 H Mercer 17- 9 8 4 + 2.95
425 A Utah 14-13 1 -6 +++ 6.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Siena 9-21 -12 -1 --- -6.03 207 A Denver 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.07 328 H Jacksonville 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Utah 14-13 1 -6 +++ 6.67 321 A Providence 18-17 1 -3 + 3.59 411 A Queens 17- 7 10 5 + 2.44 418 H Mercer 17- 9 8 4 + 2.95 |
Air Force Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany | Albany | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Albany | |
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Bellarmine | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Binghamton | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Boston Univ | |
| Brown | Brown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brown | |
| Bryant | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Bucknell | Bucknell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bucknell | |
| Canisius | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| Cleveland St | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| Colgate | Colgate | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Dartmouth | |
| Delaware | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| Drexel | Drexel | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fairfield | Air Force | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Force | |
| Georgetown | Georgetown | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Georgetown | |
| Hampton | Air Force | Air Force 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Harvard | |
| High Point | High Point | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | High Point | |
| Hobart | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Hofstra | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Holy Cross | Air Force | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Air Force | |
| Iona | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | ||
| JHU | JHU | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | JHU | |
| Lafayette | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Le Moyne | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| Lehigh | Lehigh | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lehigh | |
| LIU | Air Force | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Air Force | |
| Loyola | Loyola | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Loyola | |
| Manhattan | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| Marist | Marist | Marist | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Marquette | |
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Maryland | |
| UMass | UMass | UMass | ||
| UMassLowell | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Mercer | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Mercyhurst | Air Force | Air Force 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Merrimack | Air Force | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Air Force | |
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Mt St Marys | Air Force | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Air Force | |
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| NJIT | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| No Carolina | No Carolina | No Carolina 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pennsylvania | |
| Penn St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Providence | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Queens | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Quinnipiac | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| Richmond | Richmond | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Richmond | |
| Rob Morris | Rob Morris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rob Morris | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| St Bonnies | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| St Johns | Air Force | Air Force 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Josephs | St Josephs | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | St Josephs | |
| Stony Brook | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Air Force | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UMBC | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Utah | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Vermont | |
| Villanova | Villanova | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Villanova | |
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Virginia | |
| VMI | Air Force | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Air Force | |
| Wagner | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 89.9) 13-12 -10.00 11.29 -1.32 1.03 20.55
0 A Denver ( 6- 7, 94.0) 2-10 -5.89 15.40 1.32 1.03 -2.36
0 H Ohio State (10- 4, 95.0) 9-14 -4.89 16.40 -1.32 1.03 -3.20
0 A Siena (11- 4, 90.0) 9-21 -9.86 11.43 1.32 1.03 -4.40
0 A Marist ( 9- 4, 89.2) 11-13 -10.71 10.58 1.32 1.03 -4.84
0 H Duke ( 9- 4, 97.9) 6-21 -1.95 19.34 -1.32 1.03 -1.69
0 H Syracuse (11- 4, 98.1) 11-17 -1.80 19.49 -1.32 1.03 -1.61
0 A Providence ( 7- 8, 91.7) 18-17 -8.23 13.06 1.32 1.03 29.65
0 H Jacksonville ( 8- 5, 94.9) 10-16 -4.98 16.31 -1.32 1.03 -3.25
0 A Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.1) 13-12 -11.79 9.50 1.32 1.03 22.32
0 A Queens ( 4- 9, 84.5) 17- 7 -15.39 5.90 1.32 1.03 14.90
0 H Mercer ( 6- 7, 87.7) 17- 9 -12.23 9.06 -1.32 1.03 15.96
0 A Utah ( 9- 4, 94.7) 14-13 -5.15 16.14 1.32 1.03 36.00
------
118.03
|
winning pts = 139.3737 losing points = -21.3444
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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