Air Force
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 91.3337Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 13-12 207 A Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 2-10 214 H Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.7) 9-14 224 A Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 9-21 228 A Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 11-13 307 H Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 6-21 312 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 11-17 321 A Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 18-17 328 H Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 10-16 404 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 13-12 411 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 17- 7 418 H Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 17- 9 425 A Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14-13 501 N Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 13-12 o 503 N Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 7-16 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Lafayette 13-12 1 2 -1.10
207 A Denver 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.31
214 H Ohio State 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.06
224 A Siena 9-21 -12 0 --- -6.56
228 A Marist 11-13 -2 -1 -1.14
307 H Duke 6-21 -15 -6 -1.09
312 H Syracuse 11-17 -6 -6 -0.07
321 A Providence 18-17 1 -3 + 3.58
328 H Jacksonville 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.84
404 A Bellarmine 13-12 1 1 -0.09
411 A Queens 17- 7 10 5 + 2.36
418 H Mercer 17- 9 8 4 + 2.76
425 A Utah 14-13 1 -5 +++ 6.20
501 N Utah 13-12 o 1 -4 ++ 4.82
503 N Jacksonville 7-16 o -9 -5 - -2.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Siena 9-21 -12 0 --- -6.56 207 A Denver 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.31 214 H Ohio State 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.06 328 H Jacksonville 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.84 503 N Jacksonville 7-16 o -9 -5 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Utah 14-13 1 -5 +++ 6.20 501 N Utah 13-12 o 1 -4 ++ 4.82 321 A Providence 18-17 1 -3 + 3.58 411 A Queens 17- 7 10 5 + 2.36 418 H Mercer 17- 9 8 4 + 2.76 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 13-12 -9.29 11.30 -1.38 0.95 18.95
0 A Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 2-10 -5.25 15.35 1.38 0.95 -1.85
0 H Ohio State (10- 4, 95.7) 9-14 -4.25 16.35 -1.38 0.95 -2.68
0 A Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 9-21 -9.50 11.10 1.38 0.95 -3.88
0 A Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 11-13 -9.08 11.52 1.38 0.95 -3.68
0 H Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 6-21 -1.28 19.32 -1.38 0.95 -1.27
0 H Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 11-17 -1.26 19.34 -1.38 0.95 -1.26
0 A Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 18-17 -7.36 13.24 1.38 0.95 27.88
0 H Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 10-16 -4.03 16.57 -1.38 0.95 -2.58
0 A Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 13-12 -11.03 9.57 1.38 0.95 20.88
0 A Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 17- 7 -14.59 6.01 1.38 0.95 14.10
0 H Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 17- 9 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 0.95 14.87
0 A Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14-13 -4.74 15.85 1.38 0.95 32.88
0 N Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 13-12 -4.74 15.85 -0.00 0.95 30.25
0 N Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 7-16 -4.03 16.57 -0.00 0.95 -1.92
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140.70
|
winning pts = 159.8032 losing points = -19.1070
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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